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TEN logo

Tennessee Titans

2019 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
11-8
nfelo Rating
16246th
Point Diff / Game
+4.48th
Net EPA / Play
+0.0808th

2019 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
CLE logo
CLE@
W
43-13
+30
+5.5
W
17
2
IND logo
IND
L
17-19
-2
-3
L
-9
3
JAX logo
JAX@
L
07-20
-13
-1.5
L
-49
4
ATL logo
ATL@
W
24-10
+14
+3.5
W
37
5
BUF logo
BUF
L
07-14
-7
-3
L
-25
6
DEN logo
DEN@
L
00-16
-16
+1
L
-14
7
LAC logo
LAC
W
23-20
+3
-2.5
W
17
8
TB logo
TB
W
27-23
+4
-1.5
W
0
9
CAR logo
CAR@
L
20-30
-10
+3.5
L
-9
10
KC logo
KC
W
35-32
+3
+5.5
W
8
11BYE WEEK
12
JAX logo
JAX
W
42-20
+22
-4.5
W
42
13
IND logo
IND@
W
31-17
+14
-1
W
33
14
OAK logo
OAK@
W
42-21
+21
-3
W
21
15
HOU logo
HOU
L
21-24
-3
-3
L
-9
16
NO logo
NO
L
28-38
-10
+3
L
-13
17
HOU logo
HOU@
W
35-14
+21
-9.5
W
54
18
NE logo
NE@
W
20-13
+7
+5
W
2
19
BAL logo
BAL@
W
28-12
+16
+10
W
13
20
KC logo
KC@
L
24-35
-11
+7
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.04
6th
EPA / Pass
+0.11
8th
EPA / Rush
+0.03
4th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.04
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
16th
EPA / Rush
-0.10
10th
Sack EPA
-5.74
26th
Turnover EPA
-4.59
27th
Point Differential
+4.4
8th
Points For
24.9
8th
Points Against
20.6
11th
Total Yards
351.3
15th
Passing Yards
163.5
28th
Rushing Yards
143.6
3rd
Total Yards Allowed
368.3
22nd
Passing Allowed
237.7
30th
Rushing Allowed
108.8
13th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
35%
28th
Red Zone
77%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
39%
16th
4th Down
35%
5th
Red Zone
62%
26th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
0.9
3rd
Created
1.5
7th

Interceptions

Thrown
0.5
6th
Created
0.9
7th

Fumbles

Lost
0.4
3rd
Created
0.6
11th