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Miami Dolphins

2010 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
7-9
nfelo Rating
147315th
Point Diff / Game
-3.822nd
Net EPA / Play
-0.06522nd

2010 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
BUF logo
BUF@
W
15-10
+5
-3
W
24
2
MIN logo
MIN@
W
14-10
+4
+5.5
W
7
3
NYJ logo
NYJ
L
23-31
-8
-2.5
L
-3
4
NE logo
NE
L
14-41
-27
+1
L
-23
5BYE WEEK
6
GB logo
GB@
W
23-20
+3
+3
W
16
7
PIT logo
PIT
L
22-23
-1
+3
W
6
8
CIN logo
CIN@
W
22-14
+8
-1
W
35
9
BAL logo
BAL@
L
10-26
-16
+5.5
L
-10
10
TEN logo
TEN
W
29-17
+12
-1
W
-0
11
CHI logo
CHI
L
00-16
-16
-2.5
L
-11
12
OAK logo
OAK@
W
33-17
+16
+3
W
10
13
CLE logo
CLE
L
10-13
-3
-5.5
L
-67
14
NYJ logo
NYJ@
W
10-06
+4
+5.5
W
-3
15
BUF logo
BUF
L
14-17
-3
-6
L
-3
16
DET logo
DET
L
27-34
-7
-3.5
L
-26
17
NE logo
NE@
L
07-38
-31
+4.5
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.07
25th
EPA / Pass
-0.03
20th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
26th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.01
15th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
24th
EPA / Rush
-0.13
6th
Sack EPA
-3.71
20th
Turnover EPA
-6.97
15th
Point Differential
-3.8
22nd
Points For
17.1
30th
Points Against
20.8
13th
Total Yards
323.1
21st
Passing Yards
192.3
14th
Rushing Yards
102.9
22nd
Total Yards Allowed
309.3
6th
Passing Allowed
163.4
7th
Rushing Allowed
100.1
7th

Conversions For

3rd Down
40%
15th
4th Down
30%
31st
Red Zone
53%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
37%
10th
4th Down
36%
5th
Red Zone
40%
2nd

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.8
16th
Created
1.3
26th

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
24th
Created
0.7
28th

Fumbles

Lost
0.5
6th
Created
0.6
17th