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LAC logo

Los Angeles Chargers

2016 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
5-11
nfelo Rating
146821st
Point Diff / Game
-0.821st
Net EPA / Play
-0.00820th

2016 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
KC logo
KC@
L
27-33
-6
+6.5
W
10
2
JAX logo
JAX
W
38-14
+24
-3
W
14
3
IND logo
IND@
L
22-26
-4
+1.5
L
-4
4
NO logo
NO
L
34-35
-1
-4
L
-13
5
OAK logo
OAK@
L
31-34
-3
+3.5
W
6
6
DEN logo
DEN
W
21-13
+8
+3
W
6
7
ATL logo
ATL@
W
33-30
+3
+5
W
19
8
DEN logo
DEN@
L
19-27
-8
+3.5
L
-17
9
TEN logo
TEN
W
43-35
+8
-4
W
8
10
MIA logo
MIA
L
24-31
-7
-4.5
L
-17
11BYE WEEK
12
HOU logo
HOU@
W
21-13
+8
-2.5
W
43
13
TB logo
TB
L
21-28
-7
-3.5
L
-31
14
CAR logo
CAR@
L
16-28
-12
+1
L
-18
15
OAK logo
OAK
L
16-19
-3
+2.5
L
-10
16
CLE logo
CLE@
L
17-20
-3
-5
L
-5
17
KC logo
KC
L
27-37
-10
+6
L
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.03
17th
EPA / Pass
+0.06
15th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
27th
Def. EPA / Play
-0.02
13th
EPA / Pass
+0.02
13th
EPA / Rush
-0.11
9th
Sack EPA
-4.29
25th
Turnover EPA
-9.09
2nd
Point Differential
-0.8
21st
Points For
25.6
8th
Points Against
26.4
29th
Total Yards
356.8
13th
Passing Yards
225.4
10th
Rushing Yards
94.4
26th
Total Yards Allowed
347.4
15th
Passing Allowed
229.9
23rd
Rushing Allowed
97.9
12th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
11th
4th Down
50%
14th
Red Zone
51%
23rd

Conversions Against

3rd Down
40%
17th
4th Down
69%
25th
Red Zone
55%
14th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
2.2
32nd
Created
1.8
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
1.3
31st
Created
1.1
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.9
31st
Created
0.6
12th