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DET logo

Detroit Lions

2017 Season

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nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
9-7
nfelo Rating
149416th
Point Diff / Game
+2.112th
Net EPA / Play
+0.03513th

2017 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
ARI logo
ARI
W
35-23
+12
+2
W
13
2
NYG logo
NYG@
W
24-10
+14
+3
W
9
3
ATL logo
ATL
L
26-30
-4
+3
L
-6
4
MIN logo
MIN@
W
14-07
+7
+2.5
W
-7
5
CAR logo
CAR
L
24-27
-3
-2
L
-9
6
NO logo
NO@
L
38-52
-14
+5.5
L
-28
7BYE WEEK
8
PIT logo
PIT
L
15-20
-5
+3
L
5
9
GB logo
GB@
W
30-17
+13
-2.5
W
41
10
CLE logo
CLE
W
38-24
+14
-10
W
2
11
CHI logo
CHI@
W
27-24
+3
-3
P
7
12
MIN logo
MIN
L
23-30
-7
+2.5
L
-9
13
BAL logo
BAL@
L
20-44
-24
+2.5
L
-9
14
TB logo
TB@
W
24-21
+3
21
15
CHI logo
CHI
W
20-10
+10
-5
W
7
16
CIN logo
CIN@
L
17-26
-9
-3
L
-17
17
GB logo
GB
W
35-11
+24
-7
W
0

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
-0.08
20th
EPA / Pass
+0.04
12th
EPA / Rush
-0.23
32nd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.11
4th
EPA / Pass
-0.07
11th
EPA / Rush
-0.08
17th
Sack EPA
-6.25
31st
Turnover EPA
-6.69
9th
Point Differential
+2.1
12th
Points For
25.6
8th
Points Against
23.5
21st
Total Yards
338.0
13th
Passing Yards
237.9
4th
Rushing Yards
76.3
32nd
Total Yards Allowed
355.9
27th
Passing Allowed
195.1
16th
Rushing Allowed
112.5
19th

Conversions For

3rd Down
39%
17th
4th Down
11%
31st
Red Zone
55%
14th

Conversions Against

3rd Down
38%
15th
4th Down
53%
21st
Red Zone
62%
28th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
20th
Created
1.9
3rd

Interceptions

Thrown
0.7
10th
Created
1.2
3rd

Fumbles

Lost
0.8
28th
Created
0.8
4th