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  4. 2015
CAR logo

Carolina Panthers

2015 Season

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

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Season Overview

Record
17-2
nfelo Rating
16671st
Point Diff / Game
+11.51st
Net EPA / Play
+0.1941st

2015 Schedule and Results

nfelo by week
Week / OpponentResultScoreMarginSpreadATS Resultnfelo Change
1
JAX logo
JAX@
W
20-09
+11
-3
W
1
2
HOU logo
HOU
W
24-17
+7
-3
W
9
3
NO logo
NO
W
27-22
+5
-9.5
L
3
4
TB logo
TB@
W
37-23
+14
-3
W
6
5BYE WEEK
6
SEA logo
SEA@
W
27-23
+4
+7
W
6
7
PHI logo
PHI
W
27-16
+11
-3
W
24
8
IND logo
IND
W
29-26
+3
-5
L
-8
9
GB logo
GB
W
37-29
+8
+2.5
W
20
10
TEN logo
TEN@
W
27-10
+17
-3.5
W
14
11
WAS logo
WAS
W
44-16
+28
-7
W
17
12
DAL logo
DAL@
W
33-14
+19
-1
W
52
13
NO logo
NO@
W
41-38
+3
-6
L
8
14
ATL logo
ATL
W
38-00
+38
-8.5
W
14
15
NYG logo
NYG@
W
38-35
+3
-5
L
12
16
ATL logo
ATL@
L
13-20
-7
-7
L
-18
17
TB logo
TB
W
38-10
+28
-10
W
13
18BYE WEEK
19
SEA logo
SEA
W
31-24
+7
-2.5
W
-6
20
ARI logo
ARI
W
49-15
+34
-3
W
22
21
DEN logo
DEN@
L
10-24
-14
-4.5
L
-4

Ranks

Off. EPA / Play
+0.06
4th
EPA / Pass
+0.13
7th
EPA / Rush
-0.00
3rd
Def. EPA / Play
-0.13
2nd
EPA / Pass
-0.17
2nd
EPA / Rush
-0.11
10th
Sack EPA
-4.04
15th
Turnover EPA
-5.37
22nd
Point Differential
+11.5
1st
Points For
31.1
1st
Points Against
19.5
6th
Total Yards
366.3
11th
Passing Yards
208.7
17th
Rushing Yards
141.9
2nd
Total Yards Allowed
319.0
5th
Passing Allowed
219.3
20th
Rushing Allowed
86.7
4th

Conversions For

3rd Down
43%
6th
4th Down
55%
9th
Red Zone
69%
1st

Conversions Against

3rd Down
36%
9th
4th Down
60%
25th
Red Zone
51%
8th

Turnovers / Game

Committed
1.4
13th
Created
2.5
1st

Interceptions

Thrown
0.6
8th
Created
1.6
1st

Fumbles

Lost
0.7
26th
Created
0.9
3rd