NFL QB Rankings

Through the most recent week

Season
Value v Avg Starter
Passing
Rushing
Rates
Ratings
EPA
EPA Components vs League Average
Depth
Winning
1
Jackson, Lamar

Lamar

Jackson

BAL

#8

2024
12
4.2
-0.0
2.4
231
339
68.1%
4.6%
3053
9.0
27
3
16
90
588
6.5
3
7.9%
0.8%
7%
52.5%
119.3
9.5
318.4
77.0
143
0.30
0
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.06
0.04
-0.02
8.4
-1.2
8
4
--
3
0.007
3.4
2
Allen, Joshua

Joshua

Allen

BUF

#17

2024
11
3
0.3
-0.4
217
338
64.2%
1.4%
2543
7.5
18
5
13
60
323
5.4
5
5.3%
1.4%
3.8%
50.9%
98.5
7.5
238.9
70.0
119
0.27
0.04
0.05
0.01
0.01
-0.02
0.09
0
7.7
-1.4
9
2
--
2
0.007
3.0
3
Burrow, Joe

Joe

Burrow

CIN

#9

2024
11
2.4
0.3
1.8
274
408
67.1%
4.3%
3028
7.4
27
4
26
22
158
7.2
1
6.6%
0.9%
5.6%
51.3%
106.9
7.5
252.7
74.4
101
0.21
0
0.02
-0.02
0.03
0.05
0.05
0.01
7.6
-0.5
4
7
--
--
0.007
3.3
4
Mahomes, Patrick

Patrick

Mahomes

KC

#15

2024
11
1.9
0.3
-1.3
266
380
70%
4.9%
2673
7.0
18
11
27
29
252
8.7
1
4.7%
2.8%
1.8%
51.4%
93.5
5.8
187.2
67.8
71
0.15
0.01
0.02
0.05
-0.03
-0.06
0.09
-0.01
5.9
-2.4
10
1
--
2
0.007
3.3
5
Hurts, Jalen

Jalen

Hurts

PHI

#1

2024
11
1.7
-0.1
0.5
197
284
69.3%
8%
2376
8.4
13
5
29
98
471
4.8
11
4.5%
1.7%
2.8%
50.2%
102.7
7.0
219.2
64.4
73
0.17
0.08
-0.03
0.04
0.03
0.03
-0.02
-0.02
8.0
-0.6
9
2
--
1
0.005
2.2
6
Murray, Kyler

Kyler

Murray

ARI

#1

2024
11
1.6
-0.6
0.6
215
313
68.6%
2.4%
2343
7.5
12
4
20
40
388
9.7
4
3.8%
1.2%
2.5%
50.2%
98.0
6.8
224.0
75.5
53
0.14
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.01
-0.03
0
7.4
-1.4
6
5
--
2
0.003
1.1
7
Tagovailoa, Tua

Tua

Tagovailoa

MIA

#1

2024
7
1.1
0.6
0.9
170
231
73.5%
4.1%
1760
7.6
13
4
13
5
45
9.0
--
5.6%
1.7%
3.8%
53.6%
106.7
7.1
217.9
52.1
70
0.27
0
0.01
0.02
0
-0.09
0.25
0
5.6
-2.7
4
3
--
1
0.007
1.8
8
Purdy, Brock

Brock

Purdy

SF

#13

2024
10
1.1
0.0
0.6
202
305
66.2%
2.4%
2613
8.6
13
8
20
45
271
6.0
4
4.2%
2.6%
1.6%
52.3%
96.3
7.4
207.0
66.6
86
0.22
0.02
0.03
0
-0.01
0.18
-0.07
0
8.8
-0.2
5
5
--
--
0.005
1.9
9
Mayfield, Baker

Baker

Mayfield

TB

#6

2024
11
1.1
0.6
2.6
267
373
71.5%
2.4%
2799
7.5
24
9
24
31
226
7.3
3
6.4%
2.4%
4%
52.2%
104.4
6.9
239.8
56.0
92
0.21
0
0.02
0.05
-0.01
-0.08
0.14
0.01
6.2
-2.7
5
6
--
--
0.004
1.8
10
Goff, Jared

Jared

Goff

DET

#16

2024
11
0.8
-0.2
-0.0
223
305
73.1%
7.1%
2761
9.1
20
9
21
13
51
3.9
--
6.5%
2.9%
3.6%
53%
110.3
8.0
186.0
54.2
90
0.26
-0.02
0
0.04
-0.02
0
0.21
-0.01
6.8
-1.5
10
1
--
2
0.003
0.9
11
Carr, Derek

Derek

Carr

NO

#4

2024
8
0.6
0.4
0.6
145
211
68.7%
4.8%
1742
8.3
13
4
7
10
49
4.9
1
6.1%
1.8%
4.2%
44.3%
106.4
8.2
198.6
61.4
41
0.17
-0.03
0.07
-0.01
0
-0.04
0.14
-0.01
7.6
-1.5
4
4
--
--
0.003
0.8
12
Prescott, Rayne

Rayne

Prescott

DAL

#4

2024
8
0.3
-0.2
-1.6
185
284
65.1%
-0.8%
1978
7.0
11
8
21
11
56
5.1
1
3.8%
2.8%
1%
43.6%
86.6
5.7
142.5
46.9
-4
-0.01
-0.02
0.01
-0.02
-0.02
0
-0.02
0
8.0
-0.9
3
5
--
--
0.004
1.3
13
Love, Jordan

Jordan

Love

GB

#10

2024
9
0.3
-0.1
-0.6
173
280
61.7%
-0.4%
2244
8.0
18
11
10
9
54
6.0
1
6.4%
3.9%
2.4%
48.4%
92.0
7.0
164.4
55.5
49
0.15
0
0.06
-0.01
-0.09
0.06
0.04
0.03
9.4
0.3
6
3
--
2
0.003
1.1
14
Herbert, Justin

Justin

Herbert

LAC

#10

2024
11
0.2
-0.2
-0.2
197
311
63.3%
-0.5%
2404
7.7
13
1
27
29
225
7.8
2
4.1%
0.3%
3.8%
43.5%
99.7
7.3
164.0
59.7
37
0.09
-0.01
0
-0.03
0.06
0.04
-0.03
0
8.8
-0.5
7
4
--
--
0.003
1.1
15
Cousins, Kirk

Kirk

Cousins

ATL

#18

2024
11
0.2
-0.5
-1.1
245
356
68.8%
2.6%
2807
7.9
17
9
23
3
17
5.7
--
4.7%
2.5%
2.2%
49.6%
97.7
6.8
158.8
58.0
48
0.12
-0.03
0
0
-0.03
0.05
0.04
0
7.5
-1.8
6
5
--
2
0.005
2.2
16
Nix, Bo

Bo

Nix

DEN

#10

2024
12
0.2
0.1
2.2
259
398
65%
-0.1%
2548
6.4
16
6
19
54
313
5.8
4
4%
1.5%
2.5%
43.2%
90.1
5.9
193.6
54.5
4
0.01
0
0.04
0
0.03
-0.04
-0.06
-0.02
7.6
-1.4
7
5
--
1
-0.000
-0.2
17
Daniels, Jayden

Jayden

Daniels

WAS

#5

2024
12
0.2
0.3
2.2
227
331
68.5%
3.9%
2613
7.9
12
5
27
90
564
6.3
5
3.6%
1.5%
2.1%
49%
97.9
7.0
219.7
71.3
100
0.21
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.02
-0.03
0.01
7.5
-1.3
7
5
--
1
0.005
2.5
18
Rodgers, Aaron

Aaron

Rodgers

NYJ

#8

2024
11
0
0.0
-1.9
241
380
63.4%
-1.8%
2442
6.4
17
7
26
10
53
5.3
--
4.4%
1.8%
2.6%
43.1%
88.9
5.6
136.7
52.1
16
0.04
-0.03
0.01
-0.04
0.01
-0.01
0.01
0.01
6.7
-1.9
3
8
--
1
-0.001
-0.3
19
Stafford, John

John

Stafford

LA

#9

2024
11
0
0.0
-0.3
256
384
66.6%
0%
2800
7.3
15
7
26
2
18
9.0
--
3.9%
1.8%
2%
50.5%
93.4
6.3
153.5
62.9
40
0.09
-0.03
0
-0.02
0
0.01
0.01
0.04
7.7
-0.8
5
6
--
2
0.003
1.5
20
Wilson, Russell

Russell

Wilson

PIT

#3

2024
5
0
0.1
-0.8
94
148
63.5%
6.2%
1212
8.2
7
2
16
10
30
3.0
1
4.7%
1.3%
3.3%
40.8%
99.3
7.1
136.5
54.1
20
0.11
-0.03
-0.05
-0.02
0.04
0.13
-0.01
0
9.3
0.6
4
1
--
2
0.004
0.7
21
Lawrence, Trevor

Trevor

Lawrence

JAX

#16

2024
9
0
-0.4
-0.3
168
273
61.5%
-0.3%
2004
7.3
11
6
18
21
116
5.5
3
4%
2.1%
1.8%
45.8%
88.2
6.2
154.9
61.7
13
0.04
0
0
-0.04
0
0.11
-0.08
0
9.1
0.6
2
7
--
--
0.000
0.1
22
Fields, Justin

Justin

Fields

PIT

#2

2024
6
-0.3
0.1
0.6
106
160
66.2%
2.3%
1106
6.9
5
1
16
52
275
5.3
5
3.1%
0.6%
2.5%
46.9%
93.9
5.9
181.4
53.8
24
0.10
0.02
0
0.03
0.05
-0.04
-0.03
0.01
7.8
-1.9
5
3
--
--
0.003
0.8
23
Winston, Jameis

Jameis

Winston

CLE

#5

2024
4
-0.5
0.1
0.4
107
171
62.5%
-1.6%
1266
7.4
7
4
13
16
46
2.9
1
4%
2.3%
1.7%
46.3%
89.0
6.4
180.5
61.6
14
0.07
0.02
0
-0.02
0
0.14
-0.11
-0.02
9.5
0.8
3
5
--
--
0.002
0.5
24
Rudolph, Mason

Mason

Rudolph

TEN

#11

2024
3
-0.5
0.1
-0.0
76
126
60.3%
-1.1%
806
6.4
4
4
6
10
60
6.0
1
3.1%
3.1%
0%
46%
76.4
5.1
149.5
54.2
-6
-0.04
0.02
0.05
-0.05
-0.06
0.02
-0.09
0.01
7.7
-1.4
2
2
--
--
0.003
0.5
25
Smith, Eugene

Eugene

Smith

SEA

#7

2024
11
-0.5
-0.4
-0.3
280
403
69.4%
4.3%
3035
7.5
12
12
37
28
235
8.4
2
2.9%
2.9%
0%
48.8%
88.9
5.7
161.6
52.0
27
0.05
-0.01
0
0.04
-0.04
-0.02
0.01
0
7.2
-2.3
6
5
--
1
0.003
1.6
26
Darnold, Sam

Sam

Darnold

MIN

#14

2024
11
-0.9
0.3
1.3
221
326
67.7%
6.8%
2717
8.3
21
10
31
32
177
5.5
1
6.4%
3%
3.3%
51%
102.0
7.0
165.2
54.7
55
0.13
0
-0.02
0
-0.03
0.14
-0.05
0.02
8.9
-0.2
9
2
--
--
0.006
2.5
27
Flacco, Joseph

Joseph

Flacco

IND

#15

2024
4
-1.2
-0.2
-0.2
113
170
66.4%
1.6%
1167
6.9
9
5
13
4
28
7.0
--
5.2%
2.9%
2.3%
46%
91.5
5.6
133.4
55.0
9
0.04
-0.02
0
0
-0.05
0.07
-0.03
0.02
8.5
-0.8
2
3
--
1
-0.001
-0.1
28
Maye, Drake

Drake

Maye

NE

#10

2024
7
-1.2
-0.2
0.8
148
225
65.7%
1.3%
1458
6.5
10
7
21
30
288
9.6
1
4.4%
3.1%
1.3%
46.2%
85.8
4.8
167.3
55.3
-7
-0.03
0.04
-0.05
0.01
-0.01
-0.05
0
-0.02
7.4
-1.6
2
6
--
--
-0.000
-0.1
29
Stroud, Coleridge

Coleridge

Stroud

HOU

#7

2024
12
-1.5
-0.2
-1.8
250
395
63.2%
-2.1%
2875
7.3
14
9
39
31
198
6.4
--
3.5%
2.2%
1.2%
42.8%
87.5
5.6
116.0
54.7
12
0.02
-0.03
-0.03
0
0
0.03
0
0
8.1
-1.3
7
5
--
--
0.001
0.7
30
Huntley, Tyler

Tyler

Huntley

MIA

#18

2024
2
-1.6
-0.4
-0.5
39
66
59%
-5.2%
377
5.7
1
1
7
14
67
4.8
1
1.5%
1.5%
0%
35.1%
73.9
4.2
61.7
--
-9
-0.09
0
0
-0.01
0.02
-0.13
-0.06
0.03
9.2
-0.5
1
2
--
1
-0.003
-0.2
31
Rush, Cooper

Cooper

Rush

DAL

#10

2024
3
-1.7
0.4
-0.1
91
149
61%
-8.9%
813
5.5
4
2
7
6
11
1.8
--
2.6%
1.3%
1.3%
40%
79.1
4.8
113.3
--
-30
-0.17
-0.02
-0.02
-0.03
0.03
-0.11
-0.05
-0.01
6.4
-2.4
1
5
--
--
-0.001
-0.3
32
Richardson, Anthony

Anthony

Richardson

IND

#5

2024
8
-1.7
0.0
-0.4
90
189
47.6%
-11.1%
1402
7.4
5
7
11
52
356
6.8
3
2.6%
3.7%
-1%
39.5%
66.1
5.5
109.2
--
-9
-0.04
0.04
0.02
-0.06
-0.03
0.04
-0.07
-0.04
12.7
3.2
4
4
--
2
0.002
0.4
33
Dalton, Andrew

Andrew

Dalton

CAR

#14

2024
5
-1.8
-0.7
-0.4
106
160
66.2%
-1.1%
989
6.2
7
6
7
7
38
5.4
--
4.3%
3.7%
0.6%
42%
82.0
4.9
114.2
55.0
-22
-0.12
-0.04
0.05
0
-0.09
0
-0.09
0
6.6
-2.1
1
5
--
--
-0.000
-0.1
34
Jones, Daniel

Daniel

Jones

NYG

#8

2024
10
-1.9
-0.2
-0.5
216
337
64%
1.4%
2070
6.1
8
7
29
59
274
4.6
2
2.3%
2%
0.2%
46.1%
80.3
4.8
108.9
46.4
-10
-0.02
0
-0.01
0.01
0.01
-0.02
-0.06
0
7.4
-1.5
2
8
--
1
-0.000
-0.0
35
Minshew, Gardner

Gardner

Minshew

LV

#15

2024
9
-2
-0.1
-0.6
203
303
66.9%
0.5%
2013
6.6
9
10
29
13
62
4.8
--
2.9%
3.3%
-0.3%
45.6%
81.7
4.8
104.7
37.7
-34
-0.09
-0.03
-0.04
0
-0.05
-0.09
0.05
0.01
6.1
-2.6
2
8
--
1
-0.002
-0.9
36
Allen, Brandon

Brandon

Allen

SF

#17

2024
1
-2
-0.1
-0.1
17
29
58.6%
-3.8%
199
6.9
1
1
2
1
6
6.0
--
3.4%
3.4%
0%
34.3%
76.7
5.5
75.8
--
-17
-0.52
-0.06
-0.1
-0.09
-0.11
-0.17
-0.01
-0.01
7.4
-1.8
--
1
--
--
-0.003
-0.1
37
O'Connell, Aidan

Aidan

O'Connell

LV

#12

2024
2
-2
-0.3
-0.2
52
82
63.4%
-2.2%
455
5.5
2
2
3
--
--
--
--
2.4%
2.4%
0%
44.9%
76.0
4.4
97.8
48.3
-6
-0.07
-0.03
0.05
-0.06
-0.01
-0.03
0.01
-0.04
7.5
-1.7
--
4
--
--
-0.001
-0.1
38
Williams, Caleb

Caleb

Williams

CHI

#18

2024
11
-2.1
0.7
-0.2
233
370
62.9%
-0.2%
2356
6.4
11
5
44
49
344
7.0
--
2.9%
1.3%
1.6%
42.9%
85.4
5.0
99.8
38.4
-6
-0.01
0.01
-0.03
-0.01
0.03
-0.04
-0.03
0
7.9
-1.1
4
7
--
1
0.001
0.4
39
Willis, Malik

Malik

Willis

GB

#2

2024
2
-2.2
0.6
1.0
29
39
74.3%
5.6%
380
9.7
3
--
5
14
139
9.9
1
7.6%
0%
7.6%
40.9%
130.3
9.6
253.2
88.1
22
0.37
0.1
0.02
0.06
0.07
-0.09
0.16
-0.04
6.7
-2.9
3
1
--
--
0.012
0.8
40
Watson, Derrick

Derrick

Watson

CLE

#4

2024
7
-2.3
-0.1
-2.5
137
216
63.4%
-2.2%
1148
5.3
5
3
33
28
149
5.3
1
2.3%
1.3%
0.9%
34.7%
79.0
3.7
28.6
22.3
-63
-0.21
-0.02
-0.08
0.01
0.02
-0.17
0
-0.03
7.3
-2.8
1
6
--
--
-0.004
-1.1
41
Brissett, Jacoby

Jacoby

Brissett

NE

#7

2024
5
-2.5
-0.2
-1.7
94
158
59.4%
-2.5%
825
5.2
2
1
18
12
64
5.3
--
1.2%
0.6%
0.6%
41.7%
75.0
4.0
23.5
43.8
-30
-0.15
-0.01
-0.04
-0.04
0.03
-0.13
0
-0.01
6.9
-2.1
2
4
--
1
-0.004
-0.8
42
DeVito, Tommy

Tommy

DeVito

NYG

#15

2024
1
-2.6
-0.2
-0.2
21
31
67.7%
3.3%
189
6.1
--
--
4
6
33
5.5
--
0%
0%
0%
40.9%
83.9
4.7
52.1
--
-5
-0.12
-0.02
-0.02
-0.02
0.07
-0.07
-0.11
0
6.6
-3.0
--
1
--
--
-0.004
-0.2
43
Boyle, Timothy

Timothy

Boyle

NYG

#12

2024
1
-2.7
-0.2
-0.2
15
25
60%
-7.5%
153
6.1
--
--
1
2
10
5.0
--
0%
0%
0%
46.6%
77.6
5.5
42.6
--
-5
-0.17
-0.01
0.05
-0.27
0.07
-0.06
-0.03
0.01
7.0
-2.6
--
2
--
--
-0.002
-0.1
44
Jones, Michael

Michael

Jones

JAX

#10

2024
2
-2.8
-0.3
-0.7
37
60
61.6%
-3.6%
277
4.6
--
3
6
6
15
2.5
1
0%
5%
-5%
34.6%
51.9
1.2
-8.3
--
-27
-0.36
0
-0.08
-0.04
-0.05
-0.14
-0.11
0.01
9.3
-0.1
--
4
--
--
-0.006
-0.5
45
Rattler, Spencer

Spencer

Rattler

NO

#18

2024
3
-2.9
-0.3
-0.9
59
99
59.5%
-9%
571
5.8
1
2
14
7
62
8.9
--
1%
2%
-1%
35.9%
70.7
3.8
10.2
--
-54
-0.42
0
-0.14
-0.04
0.01
-0.17
-0.09
-0.03
7.2
-2.5
--
3
--
--
-0.006
-0.8
46
Young, Bryce

Bryce

Young

CAR

#9

2024
6
-3.4
0.3
0.1
113
188
60.1%
-2.1%
1083
5.8
5
6
13
16
94
5.9
1
2.6%
3.1%
-0.5%
37.2%
71.7
4.1
75.4
--
-37
-0.16
0
0
-0.04
-0.02
-0.03
-0.11
-0.01
7.9
-0.9
2
6
--
1
-0.003
-0.8
47
Levis, Will

Will

Levis

TEN

#8

2024
8
-3.5
-0.1
-0.9
136
203
66.9%
3.2%
1447
7.1
10
9
35
32
177
5.5
--
4.9%
4.4%
0.4%
39.2%
85.6
4.4
54.9
31.8
-35
-0.12
0
-0.09
0.05
-0.05
-0.03
-0.04
0
8.5
-1.4
2
6
--
--
-0.005
-1.4
48
Thompson, Skylar

Skylar

Thompson

MIA

#19

2024
1
-3.6
-0.4
-0.4
21
33
63.6%
2.2%
187
5.7
--
--
6
1
4
4.0
--
0%
0%
0%
29.2%
78.7
3.7
-38.8
--
-18
-0.44
-0.09
-0.18
-0.11
0.07
-0.13
-0.03
-0.01
7.0
-2.4
--
2
--
--
-0.005
-0.2

QB Rankings Table Functionality

The table above is a sortable and filterable tool for NFL QB rankings and stats. The data is organized by NFL season and includes both active quarterbacks and quarterbacks throughout NFL history.
The sorting and filtering functionality allows you to create interesting views and comparisons. For instance, you can compare EPA for all rookie quarterbacks by entering their names in the "QBs" filter box and clicking the EPA column, or you can see passing leaders from last season by selecting it in the "Seasons" dropdown and sorting by Passing Yards.

Section Descriptions

QB Rankings

Rankings are derived from 538's QB Elo model, but expressed as points and adjusted for era. The "points" value represents how many more points the QB is worth to the spread relative to an average starter of their era. The era adjustment allows QBs across NFL History to be compared.

Passing and Rushing Stats

This section includes traditional passing stats, like Passing Yards, Passing Touchdowns, Yards per Attempt in addition to basic rushing ability stats like Yards and Yards per Carry. These (and all other stats in the table) are regular season only and do not include playoff games.
This section also includes an advanced stat called Completion Percentage Over Expectation, or CPOE for short. CPOE measures the how much higher a quarterback's completion percentage is relative to what we'd expect based on the types of throws attempted by the QB. Deep throws and throws to the sideline are generally completed at a lower rate. CPOE rewards quarterbacks for completing these types of difficult throws, while penalizing them for missing easy throws like screens and check downs.
NFL CPOE leaders tend to look quite similar to NFL EPA leaders or NFL Passer Rating leaders, which makes it a useful tool for ranking quarterbacks. Since CPOE only tells part of the story, you'll often see it mixed with other stats like EPA to create an EPA+CPOE composite rating. Adding CPOE to EPA creates a metric that is even more predictive of quarterback performance than either metric alone.

Rates

Rate stats measure the percent of attempts or dropbacks that resulted in a particular outcome. For instance, TD% represents the percent of pass attempts that resulted in a passing TD. Success rate is the percent of dropbacks that resulted in positive EPA, and Exp% is the percent of dropbacks that were explosive plays.

Ratings

Ratings are a collection of popular methodologies for quantifying the quarterback position. This includes traditional passer rating, Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt (ANY/A), 538's custom QB Elo metric, and ESPN's QBR where available. Two notable omissions from this section are Approximate Value from Pro Football Reference and DYAR from Football Outsiders. Since these models are not open, or easily acquired, they unfortunately can't be included here.
There is no perfect science to determining which all-in-one rating metrics are best for NFL QB Rankings, as they all have various strengths and weaknesses. Generally speaking, all of these metrics tend to correlate with each other fairly closely, so you can't really go too wrong.
If you like simple stats that can be calculated from box scores, Passer Rating and ANY/A are the two best options. If you are fine with more complex models that potentially lack visibility, QB Elo, QBR, and EPA are all a bit more predictive.

EPA and EPA Components

EPA stands for Expected Points Added. It measures the quarterback's contribution towards offensive production by taking game context (down, distance to go, score, etc) into consideration. This is expressed as both a rate (QB EPA per Dropback) and a total.
EPA is, perhaps, the most commonly used advanced metric for measuring quarterback performance. The analytics community likes quarterback EPA because it accounts for contextual information. For instance, completing a low depth of target pass short of the sticks on third down is not materially worse than throwing a deep interception as the opponent will start their next drive in approximately the same part of the field. While EPA can account for this, things like Passer Rating or ANY/A will penalize the interception and reward the short pass.
Just like any other stat, EPA can be measured in total or on a per dropback basis. Total QB EPA is good for measuring the aggregate impact of a quarterback, while QB EPA Per Dropback is a better measure of efficiency.
EPA Components look at where a QB's EPA production came from by comparing their component averages to the league average. For instance, a QB with a +0.02 Sack EPA vs League Average lost 0.02 points less per dropback than the league average QB.

Depth of Target

Depth stats look at how far down the field the QB threw on average. aDOT stands for Average Depth of Target, while "vs Sticks" looks at target depth relative to the first down marker.
Typically playmaking QBs with a lot of athletic ability like Russell Wilson, Lamar Jackson, and Josh Allen can create more time to throw down field, while pocket QBs that rely on timing and precision like Tom Brady, Matt Ryan, and Mac Jones throw shorter passes. The offensive system implemented by the head coach or offensive coordinator can also impact aDOT. For instance, under Matt Lefleur, Aaron Rodgers went from being a high aDOT QB to low aDOT QB.
For these reasons, it's important to view QB aDOT in the context of a quarterback's broader performance. High or low aDOT can simply be the result of play style of scheme, and it's a common misconception that pushing it down the field is the market of good quarterback. For instance, the drop in Aaron Rodgers depth of target came with an increase in yards after the catch (YAC) and completion percentage. Despite throwing shorter passes on average, Rodgers had more passing yards per attempt, and won back-to-back MVPs. Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert are two additional examples of quarterbacks with exceptional arm talent who actually play an efficient style of football predicated on YAC over aDOT.

Winning

Winning encompasses high level stats like wins, losses, and ties, in addition to advanced metrics like Win Probability Added. QBs that make big plays in critical moments (think Joe Burrow in his 2021 Super Bowl run) tend to have produce the most WPA