nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. steelers @ seahawks week 12, 2015

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

PIT logo
PITSteelers
6-4
30
TBD
Lumen Field
38°F
2 mph
39
SEASeahawks
5-5
SEA logo
TBD
Lumen Field
38°F
2 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Steelers
3
15
3
9
30
Seahawks
0
14
6
19
39

Spread

SEA logo
-3

Total

OVER
46.5

Game Statistics

General
Steelers logo
Seahawks logo
Total Yards
540
436
Total Plays
77
61
Yards / Play
7.0
7.1
EPA / Play
+0.13
+0.28
Passing Yards
482
336
Comp/Att
37/61(61%)
21/31(68%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
10.8
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.66
Rushing Yards
58
100
Rush Attempts
14
28
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.6
EPA / Rush
+0.32
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Steelers logo
Seahawks logo
1st Downs
26
21
Passing 1st downs
18
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
45%
54%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
13
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
4
Negative Plays
Steelers logo
Seahawks logo
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
4
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-17.86
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-10
-9
Sack EPA
-2.93
-2.81
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
65
76
Penalty EPA
-4.83
-10.42

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-4.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model59.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+73
Home nfelo
1,619
Away nfelo
1,568
Home Field
+57.5
Base HFA
+61.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
-48.1
Surface Adj
+21.6
Time Adj
+22.1
Net QB Adjustment
-34.7
Home QB Adjustment
+0.6
Away QB Adjustment
+35.3
Market Regression
-39.9
Final Difference
65.4
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

B. Roethlisberger headshot

B. Roethlisberger

Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
+35.3
Value
Ptile
12/07
8.7
93
12/14
4.1
78
12/21
1.4
60
12/28
4.3
79
01/03
-1.1
43
09/10
2.6
69
09/20
11.0
98
09/27
-3.3
26
11/01
-6.2
11
11/08
1.2
59
R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+0.6
Value
Ptile
09/13
-1.1
43
09/20
4.3
80
09/27
-1.2
42
10/05
-0.1
50
10/11
-3.6
25
10/18
1.3
60
10/22
-6.0
11
11/01
0.7
55
11/15
-1.1
43
11/22
6.8
90

Team Matchup Ranks

Steelers Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Steelers logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
7
3
Yards / Game
3
1
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
14
3

EPA

EPA / Play
9
8
EPA / Pass
12
6
EPA / Rush
7
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
28
5
Interceptions / Game
29
19
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
16
15

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
7
4th Down Efficiency
29
2
RZ Efficiency
13
3
Seahawks Offense vs Steelers Defense
Seahawks logo
Steelers logo

Total

Points / Game
7
9
Yards / Game
8
19
Passing Yards / Game
18
30
Rushing Yards / Game
3
5

EPA

EPA / Play
3
9
EPA / Pass
1
13
EPA / Rush
12
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
14
18
Interceptions / Game
7
8
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
27
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
3
15
4th Down Efficiency
1
4
RZ Efficiency
15
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PIT logo

Steelers

6-4
SU
6-3-1
ATS
2-8
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/10
-7
L
W
U
09/20
25
W
W
O
09/27
6
W
W
U
10/01
-3
L
P
U
10/12
4
W
W
U
10/18
12
W
W
U
10/25
-10
L
L
U
11/01
-6
L
L
U
11/08
3
W
L
O
11/15
21
W
W
U
SEA logo

Seahawks

5-5
SU
3-6-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/13
-3
L
L
O
09/20
-10
L
L
U
09/27
26
W
W
U
10/05
3
W
L
U
10/11
-3
L
P
O
10/18
-4
L
L
O
10/22
17
W
W
U
11/01
1
W
L
U
11/15
-7
L
L
O
11/22
16
W
W
O