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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ rams week 10, 2020

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
6-2
16
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0
23
LARRams
5-3
LAR logo
TBD
SoFi Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
7
6
0
3
16
Rams
10
7
6
0
23

Spread

LAR logo
-3

Total

UNDER
55

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
333
389
Total Plays
65
69
Yards / Play
5.1
5.6
EPA / Play
-0.09
+0.03
Passing Yards
220
283
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
27/37(73%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
7.6
EPA / Pass
-0.20
+0.14
Rushing Yards
113
106
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
5.1
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.21
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
20
24
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
7
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
33%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.61
-5.56
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-28
-19
Sack EPA
-6.34
-7.89
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
23
49
Penalty EPA
-4.95
-4.81

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
-1.5
Current
-3.0
Model
+0.5

Win Probability

Market59.3%
Model48.7%
Spread Pick
SEA logo
Seahawks+3.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+9.1%
Cover Probability
53.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-76
Home nfelo
1,530
Away nfelo
1,589
Home Field
+5.2
Base HFA
+6.3
Divisional Adj
-2.8
Home Bye Adj
+1.8
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-21.7
Home QB Adjustment
+5.5
Away QB Adjustment
+27.2
Market Regression
+23.4
Final Difference
-8.8
Model Spread
+0.5

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+27.2
Value
Ptile
01/05
4.7
83
01/12
3.6
75
09/13
11.0
97
09/20
10.8
97
09/27
6.8
88
10/04
2.1
59
10/11
2.2
61
10/25
6.8
87
11/01
7.8
91
11/08
1.9
58
J. Goff headshot

J. Goff

Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+5.5
Value
Ptile
12/21
3.6
76
12/29
4.2
79
09/13
-1.1
36
09/20
5.9
83
09/27
5.5
80
10/04
-0.5
43
10/11
4.0
73
10/18
-1.7
31
10/26
2.9
66
11/01
-2.7
26

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Rams Defense
Seahawks logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
7
2
Yards / Game
18
1
Passing Yards / Game
7
3
Rushing Yards / Game
12
4

EPA

EPA / Play
6
1
EPA / Pass
12
1
EPA / Rush
7
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
23
Interceptions / Game
22
13
Fumbles / Game
2
16
Turnover EPA / Game
14
28

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
4
4th Down Efficiency
18
7
RZ Efficiency
3
12
Rams Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Rams logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
17
22
Passing Yards / Game
16
31
Rushing Yards / Game
11
5

EPA

EPA / Play
26
14
EPA / Pass
20
22
EPA / Rush
24
7

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
31
4
Interceptions / Game
16
14
Fumbles / Game
19
17
Turnover EPA / Game
9
14

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
14
26
4th Down Efficiency
28
4
RZ Efficiency
18
18

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/05
8
W
W
U
01/12
-5
L
L
O
09/13
13
W
W
O
09/20
5
W
W
O
09/27
7
W
W
O
10/04
8
W
W
U
10/11
1
W
L
U
10/25
-3
L
L
O
11/01
10
W
W
O
11/08
-10
L
L
O
LAR logo

Rams

6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/21
-3
L
W
O
12/29
7
W
P
O
09/13
3
W
W
U
09/20
18
W
W
O
09/27
-3
L
L
O
10/04
8
W
L
U
10/11
20
W
W
U
10/18
-8
L
L
U
10/26
14
W
W
U
11/01
-11
L
L
U