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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. seahawks @ browns week 6, 2019

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SEA logo
SEASeahawks
4-1
32
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
20 mph
28
CLEBrowns
2-3
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
58°F
20 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Seahawks
6
12
7
7
32
Browns
14
6
0
8
28

Spread

SEA logo
+0

Total

OVER
45.5

Game Statistics

General
Seahawks logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
454
408
Total Plays
75
61
Yards / Play
6.1
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.03
Passing Yards
284
--
Comp/Att
23/33(70%)
22/37(59%)
Yards / Pass
8.6
--
EPA / Pass
+0.53
-0.15
Rushing Yards
170
157
Rush Attempts
39
24
Yards / Rush
4.4
6.5
EPA / Rush
-0.23
+0.11
Downs & Conversions
Seahawks logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
29
21
Passing 1st downs
17
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
46%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
8
Red Zone %
57%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
4
3
Red Zone Attempts
7
5
Negative Plays
Seahawks logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.24
-16.69
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-11
--
Sack EPA
-3.53
--
Penalties
10
9
Penalty Yards
65
83
Penalty EPA
-7.73
-9.45

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
SEA logo
SEASeahawksFavored
Opening
-1.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+3
Home nfelo
1,496
Away nfelo
1,546
Home Field
+102.8
Base HFA
+54.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+19.0
Time Adj
+29.3
Net QB Adjustment
-49.4
Home QB Adjustment
-23.4
Away QB Adjustment
+26.0
Market Regression
+16.0
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

R. Wilson headshot

R. Wilson

Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+26.0
Value
Ptile
12/10
-4.9
18
12/16
1.9
61
12/23
5.5
83
12/30
-9.9
3
01/05
3.6
73
09/08
-2.3
36
09/15
6.2
87
09/22
15.0
99
09/29
-1.1
46
10/03
8.8
94
B. Mayfield headshot

B. Mayfield

Proj. Value
+0.1
Team Elo Adj
-23.4
Value
Ptile
12/02
2.0
62
12/09
1.4
57
12/15
-2.5
31
12/23
8.0
92
12/30
2.6
67
09/08
-7.2
11
09/16
-3.4
29
09/22
-6.3
14
09/29
1.9
66
10/07
-14.4
1

Team Matchup Ranks

Seahawks Offense vs Browns Defense
Seahawks logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
9
20
Yards / Game
6
21
Passing Yards / Game
10
10
Rushing Yards / Game
6
30

EPA

EPA / Play
9
20
EPA / Pass
7
15
EPA / Rush
19
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
17
Interceptions / Game
1
10
Fumbles / Game
31
25
Turnover EPA / Game
20
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
12
4th Down Efficiency
10
4
RZ Efficiency
7
25
Browns Offense vs Seahawks Defense
Browns logo
Seahawks logo

Total

Points / Game
22
19
Yards / Game
22
23
Passing Yards / Game
14
7
Rushing Yards / Game
12
22

EPA

EPA / Play
22
19
EPA / Pass
21
18
EPA / Rush
12
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
9
Interceptions / Game
30
9
Fumbles / Game
2
4
Turnover EPA / Game
7
27

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
20
RZ Efficiency
14
22

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SEA logo

Seahawks

7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/10
14
W
W
U
12/16
-3
L
L
O
12/23
7
W
W
O
12/30
3
W
L
O
01/05
-2
L
W
O
09/08
1
W
L
U
09/15
2
W
W
O
09/22
-6
L
L
O
09/29
17
W
W
U
10/03
1
W
L
O
CLE logo

Browns

5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
3-6-1
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/02
-16
L
L
U
12/09
6
W
W
U
12/15
1
W
W
U
12/23
8
W
L
P
12/30
-2
L
W
O
09/08
-30
L
L
O
09/16
20
W
W
U
09/22
-7
L
L
U
09/29
15
W
W
O
10/07
-28
L
L
U