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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. rams @ ravens week 6, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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nfelo

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LAR logo
LARRams
0-5
3
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
68°F
8 mph
22
BALRavens
3-2
BAL logo
TBD
M&T Bank Stadium
68°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Rams
0
0
3
0
3
Ravens
3
10
3
6
22

Game Statistics

General
Rams logo
Ravens logo
Total Yards
264
248
Total Plays
67
63
Yards / Play
3.9
3.9
EPA / Play
-0.43
-0.15
Passing Yards
197
171
Comp/Att
19/36(53%)
18/30(60%)
Yards / Pass
5.5
5.7
EPA / Pass
-0.56
-0.19
Rushing Yards
67
77
Rush Attempts
27
31
Yards / Rush
2.5
2.5
EPA / Rush
-0.19
-0.25
Downs & Conversions
Rams logo
Ravens logo
1st Downs
14
14
Passing 1st downs
11
8
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
36%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
15
Red Zone %
0%
20%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Rams logo
Ravens logo
Turnovers
6
2
Interceptions
5
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-20.88
-10.21
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-11
-13
Sack EPA
-7.50
-7.40
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
63
--
Penalty EPA
-7.24
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
LAR logo
LARRamsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Rams Offense vs Ravens Defense
Rams logo
Ravens logo

Total

Points / Game
28
22
Yards / Game
24
6
Passing Yards / Game
9
13
Rushing Yards / Game
25
2

EPA

EPA / Play
29
20
EPA / Pass
30
27
EPA / Rush
26
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
12
Interceptions / Game
32
13
Fumbles / Game
12
25
Turnover EPA / Game
5
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
25
6
4th Down Efficiency
28
19
RZ Efficiency
26
3
Ravens Offense vs Rams Defense
Ravens logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
24
31
Yards / Game
22
22
Passing Yards / Game
29
20
Rushing Yards / Game
15
20

EPA

EPA / Play
28
29
EPA / Pass
27
23
EPA / Rush
22
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
7
Interceptions / Game
6
8
Fumbles / Game
32
29
Turnover EPA / Game
1
16

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
18
12
4th Down Efficiency
12
27
RZ Efficiency
28
27

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

LAR logo

Rams

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/03
-14
L
L
P
12/11
-15
L
L
P
12/17
20
W
W
P
12/24
6
W
W
P
12/31
20
W
W
P
09/09
-14
L
L
P
09/16
-1
L
L
P
09/23
-21
L
L
P
09/30
-28
L
L
P
10/07
-3
L
W
P
BAL logo

Ravens

7-3
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/10
10
W
W
P
12/17
10
W
L
P
12/24
24
W
W
P
12/31
12
W
W
P
01/13
-9
L
L
P
09/10
-7
L
L
P
09/16
7
W
L
P
09/23
3
W
L
P
09/30
-14
L
L
P
10/07
2
W
L
P