Betting Card

NFL Games with a projected +EV side

Total Games

15

+EV Games

6

Leans

1

Expected Units

+0.43

+EV Bets

NYG logo
NYG
2-4
@
DEN
4-2
DEN logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Empower Field at Mile High
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
J. Dart headshot
J. Dart
Adj: -33.2
B. Nix
Adj: 8.2
B. Nix headshot
Model Recommendation
Denver Broncos
Broncos-7
Market Line-7
Model Line-9
Cover Probability55.3%
Expected Value+12.4%
CAR logo
CAR
3-3
@
NYJ
0-6
NYJ logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
MetLife Stadium
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
B. Young headshot
B. Young
Adj: 1.0
J. Fields
Adj: -7.8
J. Fields headshot
Model Recommendation
New York Jets
Jets+2
Market Line+2
Model Line-2.5
Cover Probability56.3%
Expected Value+10.1%
MIA logo
MIA
1-5
@
CLE
1-5
CLE logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
FirstEnergy Stadium
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
T. Tagovailoa headshot
T. Tagovailoa
Adj: -6.1
D. Gabriel
Adj: -42.7
D. Gabriel headshot
Model Recommendation
Miami Dolphins
Dolphins+3
Market Line+3
Model Line+0.5
Cover Probability53.8%
Expected Value+9.1%
HOU logo
HOU
2-3
@
SEA
4-2
SEA logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Lumen Field
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
C. Stroud headshot
C. Stroud
Adj: 8.3
S. Darnold
Adj: 12.7
S. Darnold headshot
Model Recommendation
Houston Texans
Texans+3.5
Market Line+3.5
Model Line+3
Cover Probability55.4%
Expected Value+5.8%
NE logo
NE
4-2
@
TEN
1-5
TEN logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Nissan Stadium
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
D. Maye headshot
D. Maye
Adj: 18.1
C. Ward
Adj: -25.2
C. Ward headshot
Model Recommendation
Tennessee Titans
Titans+7
Market Line+7
Model Line+6.5
Cover Probability50.0%
Expected Value+3.4%
GB logo
GB
3-1
@
ARI
2-4
ARI logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
State Farm Stadium
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
J. Love headshot
J. Love
Adj: 8.4
K. Murray
Adj: -7.3
K. Murray headshot
Model Recommendation
Arizona Cardinals
Cardinals+6.5
Market Line+6.5
Model Line+5
Cover Probability53.5%
Expected Value+2.1%

Simulated Unit Outcomes

Negative Weeks
51%
Positive Weeks
49%