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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. eagles @ raiders week 7, 2021

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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PHI logo
PHIEagles
2-4
22
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0
33
OAKRaiders
4-2
OAK logo
TBD
Allegiant Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Eagles
7
0
0
15
22
Raiders
0
17
13
3
33

Spread

OAK logo
-1

Total

OVER
48

Game Statistics

General
Eagles logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
360
442
Total Plays
69
63
Yards / Play
5.2
7.0
EPA / Play
+0.01
+0.21
Passing Yards
225
--
Comp/Att
18/35(51%)
31/34(91%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
--
EPA / Pass
+0.12
+0.54
Rushing Yards
135
119
Rush Attempts
32
29
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.1
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Eagles logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
22
23
Passing 1st downs
12
16
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
46%
33%
3rd Down Conversions
6
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
9
Red Zone %
75%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
3
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Eagles logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
2
0
Turnover EPA
-10.81
-4.34
Sacks
2
--
Sack Yards
-13
--
Sack EPA
-3.14
--
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
--
65
Penalty EPA
--
-6.78

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-3.0
Current
-1.0
Model
-3.0

Win Probability

Market52.2%
Model57.9%
Spread Pick
OAK logo
Raiders-1.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+16.2%
Cover Probability
60.4%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+100
Home nfelo
1,497
Away nfelo
1,448
Home Field
+62.9
Base HFA
+41.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+14.4
Time Adj
+7.4
Net QB Adjustment
-11.7
Home QB Adjustment
-0.1
Away QB Adjustment
+11.6
Market Regression
-9.7
Final Difference
55.7
Model Spread
-3.0

Quarterbacks

J. Hurts headshot

J. Hurts

Proj. Value
+1.1
Team Elo Adj
+11.6
Value
Ptile
12/13
6.2
85
12/20
4.0
73
12/27
-0.8
40
01/03
-5.3
15
09/12
8.9
95
09/19
2.3
70
09/27
0.6
58
10/03
6.4
89
10/10
-0.2
52
10/14
-2.7
34
D. Carr headshot

D. Carr

Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
-0.1
Value
Ptile
12/13
5.6
81
12/17
-5.5
13
12/26
2.5
63
01/03
-1.1
37
09/13
3.6
79
09/19
8.7
94
09/26
0.9
61
10/04
-3.9
25
10/10
-5.4
17
10/17
4.0
80

Team Matchup Ranks

Eagles Offense vs Raiders Defense
Eagles logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
12
26
Yards / Game
13
14
Passing Yards / Game
17
11
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15

EPA

EPA / Play
10
28
EPA / Pass
14
28
EPA / Rush
3
6

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
4
11
Interceptions / Game
7
32
Fumbles / Game
4
26
Turnover EPA / Game
27
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
16
4th Down Efficiency
25
32
RZ Efficiency
8
32
Raiders Offense vs Eagles Defense
Raiders logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
18
19
Yards / Game
8
10
Passing Yards / Game
2
3
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9

EPA

EPA / Play
19
18
EPA / Pass
15
23
EPA / Rush
28
10

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
17
21
Fumbles / Game
32
31
Turnover EPA / Game
11
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
23
4th Down Efficiency
7
9
RZ Efficiency
29
29

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

PHI logo

Eagles

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
5-5
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/13
3
W
W
O
12/20
-7
L
L
O
12/27
-20
L
L
O
01/03
-6
L
W
U
09/12
26
W
W
U
09/19
-6
L
L
U
09/27
-20
L
L
O
10/03
-12
L
L
O
10/10
3
W
W
U
10/14
-6
L
W
U
OAK logo

Raiders

5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
7-3
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/13
-17
L
L
O
12/17
-3
L
L
O
12/26
-1
L
W
O
01/03
1
W
L
O
09/13
6
W
W
O
09/19
9
W
W
U
09/26
3
W
L
O
10/04
-14
L
L
U
10/10
-11
L
L
U
10/17
10
W
W
O