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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. dolphins @ commanders week 1, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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MIA logo
MIADolphins
-
13
TBD
FedExField
82°F
7 mph
16
WASCommanders
-
WAS logo
TBD
FedExField
82°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Dolphins
0
7
3
3
0
13
Commanders
0
3
7
3
3
16

Game Statistics

General
Dolphins logo
Commanders logo
Total Yards
273
400
Total Plays
60
64
Yards / Play
4.5
6.3
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.06
Passing Yards
207
209
Comp/Att
24/38(63%)
12/21(57%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
10.0
EPA / Pass
-0.06
-0.20
Rushing Yards
66
191
Rush Attempts
20
41
Yards / Rush
3.3
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.25
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
Dolphins logo
Commanders logo
1st Downs
17
19
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
31%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
33%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Dolphins logo
Commanders logo
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.72
-8.77
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-12
-13
Sack EPA
-3.78
-3.20
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
61
65
Penalty EPA
-4.53
-7.35

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
MIA logo
MIADolphinsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Dolphins Offense vs Commanders Defense
Dolphins logo
Commanders logo

Total

Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
28
9
Passing Yards / Game
13
24
Rushing Yards / Game
22
3

EPA

EPA / Play
19
8
EPA / Pass
24
6
EPA / Rush
8
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
9
21
Interceptions / Game
13
22
Fumbles / Game
24
24
Turnover EPA / Game
16
17

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
20
5
4th Down Efficiency
9
26
RZ Efficiency
17
6
Commanders Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Commanders logo
Dolphins logo

Total

Points / Game
19
30
Yards / Game
15
23
Passing Yards / Game
7
8
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32

EPA

EPA / Play
20
32
EPA / Pass
12
32
EPA / Rush
32
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
13
11
Interceptions / Game
4
24
Fumbles / Game
29
31
Turnover EPA / Game
7
4

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
17
32
4th Down Efficiency
24
27
RZ Efficiency
20
32

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

MIA logo

Dolphins

5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/22
-10
L
L
P
11/05
18
W
W
P
11/12
3
W
W
P
11/19
4
W
W
P
11/23
17
W
W
P
12/03
-14
L
L
P
12/10
21
W
W
P
12/17
-21
L
L
P
12/25
-3
L
L
P
12/31
-5
L
W
P
WAS logo

Commanders

3-7
SU
3-5-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/22
-14
L
L
P
11/05
3
W
W
P
11/12
-24
L
L
P
11/19
-3
L
P
P
11/26
4
W
W
P
12/03
-10
L
L
P
12/10
-2
L
P
P
12/17
6
W
W
P
12/24
-6
L
L
P
12/30
-6
L
L
P