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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. cowboys @ panthers week 16, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DAL logo
DALCowboys
8-6
24
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
5 mph
20
CARPanthers
10-4
CAR logo
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
60°F
5 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Cowboys
7
3
7
7
24
Panthers
10
3
0
7
20

Game Statistics

General
Cowboys logo
Panthers logo
Total Yards
394
318
Total Plays
69
58
Yards / Play
5.7
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.09
+0.01
Passing Yards
180
247
Comp/Att
15/23(65%)
14/31(45%)
Yards / Pass
7.8
8.0
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.07
Rushing Yards
214
71
Rush Attempts
41
24
Yards / Rush
5.2
3.0
EPA / Rush
+0.06
-0.16
Downs & Conversions
Cowboys logo
Panthers logo
1st Downs
22
13
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
10
4
Penalty 1st downs
3
--
3rd Down %
36%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
5
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
14
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
2
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Cowboys logo
Panthers logo
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.74
-5.82
Sacks
5
3
Sack Yards
-29
-13
Sack EPA
-6.40
-7.46
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
44
49
Penalty EPA
-5.70
-11.26

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DAL logo
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Cowboys Offense vs Panthers Defense
Cowboys logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
15
4
Yards / Game
12
2
Passing Yards / Game
12
13
Rushing Yards / Game
13
6

EPA

EPA / Play
15
2
EPA / Pass
10
3
EPA / Rush
24
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
25
Interceptions / Game
22
4
Fumbles / Game
23
3
Turnover EPA / Game
12
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
19
4th Down Efficiency
10
5
RZ Efficiency
13
10
Panthers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Panthers logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
9
12
Yards / Game
21
10
Passing Yards / Game
20
24
Rushing Yards / Game
16
14

EPA

EPA / Play
9
14
EPA / Pass
8
4
EPA / Rush
18
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
4
Interceptions / Game
21
20
Fumbles / Game
11
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
6
4th Down Efficiency
27
27
RZ Efficiency
10
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/09
23
W
W
P
10/16
3
W
L
P
10/23
-3
L
P
P
10/30
21
W
W
P
11/14
1
W
W
P
11/20
13
W
W
P
11/24
-3
L
L
P
12/04
-7
L
L
P
12/11
3
W
P
P
12/18
-28
L
L
P
CAR logo

Panthers

8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/09
4
W
W
P
10/16
1
W
W
P
10/30
25
W
W
P
11/06
20
W
W
P
11/13
27
W
W
P
11/20
-10
L
L
P
11/27
4
W
P
P
12/04
18
W
W
P
12/11
-10
L
L
P
12/18
17
W
W
P