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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. bears @ 49ers week 1, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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CHI logo
CHIBears
-
7
TBD
Candlestick Park
66°F
16 mph
49
SF49ers
-
SF logo
TBD
Candlestick Park
66°F
16 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Bears
0
7
0
0
7
49ers
10
17
6
10
43

Game Statistics

General
Bears logo
49ers logo
Total Yards
127
391
Total Plays
59
77
Yards / Play
2.2
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.55
+0.13
Passing Yards
72
--
Comp/Att
14/34(41%)
19/35(54%)
Yards / Pass
2.1
--
EPA / Pass
-0.91
+0.14
Rushing Yards
55
162
Rush Attempts
20
42
Yards / Rush
2.8
3.9
EPA / Rush
-0.17
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
Bears logo
49ers logo
1st Downs
8
23
Passing 1st downs
4
11
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
21%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
100%
44%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
1
9
Negative Plays
Bears logo
49ers logo
Turnovers
5
2
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
2
1
Turnover EPA
-16.80
+1.69
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-23
--
Sack EPA
-8.88
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
30
25
Penalty EPA
-3.55
-3.51

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CHI logo
CHIBearsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Bears Offense vs 49ers Defense
Bears logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
22
18
Yards / Game
28
12
Passing Yards / Game
14
28
Rushing Yards / Game
18
9

EPA

EPA / Play
24
11
EPA / Pass
31
10
EPA / Rush
8
16

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
1
21
Interceptions / Game
25
6
Fumbles / Game
9
18
Turnover EPA / Game
17
26

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
27
4th Down Efficiency
2
25
RZ Efficiency
18
26
49ers Offense vs Bears Defense
49ers logo
Bears logo

Total

Points / Game
8
21
Yards / Game
5
14
Passing Yards / Game
11
5
Rushing Yards / Game
5
16

EPA

EPA / Play
9
20
EPA / Pass
8
19
EPA / Rush
14
18

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
4
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
23
32
Turnover EPA / Game
28
3

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
10
20
4th Down Efficiency
30
9
RZ Efficiency
19
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

CHI logo

Bears

2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/27
-18
L
L
P
11/03
-6
L
W
P
11/10
-3
L
W
P
11/18
-5
L
W
P
11/24
3
W
L
P
12/01
-10
L
L
P
12/09
-18
L
L
P
12/15
7
W
W
P
12/22
-10
L
L
P
12/29
-15
L
L
P
SF logo

49ers

5-5
SU
0-10
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/10
4
W
L
P
11/17
-3
L
L
P
11/25
-21
L
L
P
12/01
7
W
L
P
12/08
4
W
L
P
12/15
-6
L
L
P
12/21
3
W
L
P
12/30
-11
L
L
P
01/05
1
W
L
P
01/12
-25
L
L
P