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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. 49ers @ cardinals week 12, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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SF logo
SF49ers
2-8
37
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0
31
ARICardinals
5-5
ARI logo
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
49ers
7
10
7
7
31
Cardinals
7
14
0
10
31

Game Statistics

General
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
Total Yards
374
552
Total Plays
67
77
Yards / Play
5.6
7.2
EPA / Play
+0.02
-0.14
Passing Yards
237
456
Comp/Att
25/39(64%)
35/49(71%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
9.3
EPA / Pass
+0.01
-0.03
Rushing Yards
137
96
Rush Attempts
25
24
Yards / Rush
5.5
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.01
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
1st Downs
21
25
Passing 1st downs
15
18
Rushing 1st downs
5
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
31%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
4
4
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
67%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
49ers logo
Cardinals logo
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-19.62
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-19
-30
Sack EPA
-4.06
-11.29
Penalties
3
10
Penalty Yards
--
70
Penalty EPA
--
-8.62

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
SF logo
SF49ersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

49ers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
49ers logo
Cardinals logo

Total

Points / Game
32
27
Yards / Game
32
17
Passing Yards / Game
27
31
Rushing Yards / Game
27
10

EPA

EPA / Play
32
6
EPA / Pass
32
12
EPA / Rush
31
5

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
25
Interceptions / Game
20
8
Fumbles / Game
26
18
Turnover EPA / Game
6
29

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
32
15
4th Down Efficiency
31
11
RZ Efficiency
16
12
Cardinals Offense vs 49ers Defense
Cardinals logo
49ers logo

Total

Points / Game
6
20
Yards / Game
11
25
Passing Yards / Game
19
15
Rushing Yards / Game
29
22

EPA

EPA / Play
23
15
EPA / Pass
17
22
EPA / Rush
23
8

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
1
Interceptions / Game
31
30
Fumbles / Game
22
14
Turnover EPA / Game
2
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
17
4th Down Efficiency
1
19
RZ Efficiency
3
6

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

SF logo

49ers

2-8
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/10
3
W
L
P
09/16
1
W
W
P
09/23
-21
L
L
P
09/30
-20
L
L
P
10/07
-2
L
W
P
10/21
-18
L
L
P
10/28
-21
L
L
P
11/04
-4
L
L
P
11/12
-24
L
L
P
11/18
-4
L
L
P
ARI logo

Cardinals

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/10
-3
L
W
P
09/16
3
W
W
P
09/23
-3
L
W
P
09/30
7
W
W
P
10/07
3
W
L
P
10/14
-15
L
L
P
10/21
-2
L
W
P
11/04
-7
L
L
P
11/11
10
W
W
P
11/18
8
W
W
P